When it comes to technical analysis, laziness leads to loss.
It doesn’t matter how oversold your relative strength (RSI) indicator may be, for example, if you fail to confirm it, you could set yourself up for a loss.
There’s an easy way to fix it, though. For one, don’t rely on just the RSI. Look for confirmation.Read More
Wall Street’s “fear gauge” plummeted to a 24-year low of 9.31 in late July 2017, stoking concerns that traders had become far too complacent.
While many don't pay attention to such a gauge, as markets rally, it’s well worth paying attention to. You see each time the VIX has closed below 10, we’ve seen big spikes in volatility shortly after. In fact, the last time the VIX closed under 10 in late June 2017, the VIX exploded from a low of 9.75 to 13 in days, resulting in a pullback in major indices.Read More
The trend is the most important concept in technical analysis.
Its strength or weakness can dictate the overall direction of your favorite stock or index. Potential uptrends can be characterized by a series of higher highs. Potential downtrends can be characterized by lower lows.Read More
A few weekends ago, I had a family get-together.
They’re always fun. I get to see relatives I haven’t seen for years.
Unfortunately, they’re also always full of people you wish you could ignore. My Uncle David is one of those people. The guy who thinks he knows everything about everything, especially about trading the markets.Read More
By now, you’re well aware of how to find trends using simple moving averages, such as the 50- and 200-day moving averages. But you should also know how to potentially spot when a trend could stop dead in its tracks, or birth a new trend.
All we have to do is wait for a crossover to do so.Read More
One look at the US Dollar in July 2017, and you just felt sick.
Unless, of course, you were short the currency or held gold at the time.
But for those with hopes for a near-term recovery in July 2017, it was best to just find somewhere else to park an investment.Read More
If you pull a rubber band too far, too fast, what happens?
It snaps back, right? The same thing happens with stocks, indexes, and currencies. If they’re pulled too far in one direction, eventually they’ll snap back and revert to back to the mean. In fact, we see it happen all the time.Read More
Money management is an essential part of any trade.
If a trade begins to go against you, or even if a trade did exactly as you had hoped, knowing when to get out, is important. Look at the U.S. dollar for example. Let’s say you bought the currency around 97.30 in November 2016 before it began to run to a high of 103.81 by late 2017.Read More
To the average trader, candlestick patterns are just a bunch of crosses and odd shapes with weird names, like the abandoned baby, three white soldiers, and piercing lines.
But as odd as they may sound, even the craziest one can help give you a significant trading edge.
When it comes to trading, none of us have a crystal ball.
We can’t tell you with obscene accuracy what’s coming next.
But what we can help you do is attempt to gauge the possible intentions of buyers and sellers. One of the easiest ways to do that is by simply identifying patterns of historical support and resistance, which lets us know where buyers and sellers are reaching a point of exhaustion.Read More
Once you begin to understand technical analysis, you’re literally looking at a consolidated view of the very forces of supply and demand – the two key forces that drive markets.
We’ve already discussed some of the most powerful and most used patterns, like Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracements, relative strength, head and shoulder patterns, breakouts, and even how to use candlesticks.Read More