Dogs of the Dow 2019: Eight out of 10 have Already Exploded

Some analysts may write off the Dogs of the Dow theory as antiquated.

In fact, back in 2007, Barron’s noted the strategy no longer works. However, history teaches us that it works very well.

In 2011, there were up 16.3%. In 2012, they jumped 9.9%. In 2013, they returned 34.9%. In 2014, they returned nearly 11%.

In 2015, they did okay, returning just 2.6 %.

In 2016, the Dogs returned 16% on average. In 2017, the Dogs of the Dow returned 19% for the year. And in 2018, the Dogs of the Dow lost 4% on the year, but still outperformed the Dow Jones’ overall 6% decline. 


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Plus, we have to remember that each of the Dogs also pays a healthy dividend, too.

As for 2019, the Dogs are off to a great start so far, as markets roar to unbelievable highs. In fact, since January 2, 2019, here’s how the Dogs have done, as of md-April 2019.

  • IBM (IBM) pays a 5.52% dividend and has run from $110.72 to $140.33
  • Exxon Mobil (XOM) pays a 4.81% dividend and ran from $66 to $81
  • Verizon (VZ) pays a 4.29% dividend and has run from $55 to $58
  • Chevron (CVX) carries a dividend yield of 4.12% and ran from $106 to $120
  • Pfizer (PFE) carries a dividend of 3.3% and has fallen from $42.75 to $39.40
  • Coca-Cola (KO) has a dividend yield of 3.29% and ran from $46.50 to $47.50
  • JPMorgan Chase (JPM) has a dividend of 3.28% and ran from $94.45 to $113
  • Procter & Gamble (PG) pays a 3.12% dividend and ran from $89.64 to $106
  • Cisco Systems (CSCO) has a dividend yield of 3.05% and ran from $41.69 to $56.40
  • Merck (MRK) has a dividend yield of 2.88% and fell from $74.78 to $73

With the exception of two pharmaceutical stocks, the Dogs of the Dow are showing a success rate of 80% four months into the New Year.

Even the ELEMENTS Dogs of the Dow ETN (DODXF) had a solid year prior to the mid-April 2019 pullback fueled in part by a drop in MRK and PFE.

The best part – it’s a “set it and forget it” strategy.

You simply buy the 10 biggest Dow flops of the year that pay respectable dividends. You buy at the start of the New Year, and exit at the end of the year. Then, you simply repeat it. While others may say it’s an antiquated strategy with low success rates, history proves that wrong. 

At this pace, the Dogs of the Dow could again outperform the overall market.

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